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The US fossil fuel output is expected to increase in 2018 and 2019

19 Jan 2018

According to the United States Energy Information Administration (EIA), the US fossil fuels production (including mainly hydrocarbons such as crude oil, hydrocarbon gas liquids and dry natural gas but also coal) is expected to rise in 2018 and in 2019.

In 2018, gas production should increase of 9% from 2017 levels (+3% between 2018 and 2019), surpassing the 2015 production record. Growth is likely to be concentrated in the Marcellus and Utica shales in the Appalachia region along with the Permian Basin in Texas and New Mexico. Crude oil production should increase by 10% in 2018 to an average of 10.3 mb/d, reaching a new record and surpassing the previous record of 9.6 mb/d set in 1970. In 2019, crude oil production should continue to increase (+5.6%), reaching an average of 10.8 mb/d. US coal production is expected to decline by 2% in 2018, from 773 to 759 MMst in 2018. It would decline again by 2% in 2019, due to a lower demand from the power sector (relatively low gas prices reducing demand for coal used to produce electricity).

The EIA estimates that natural gas accounted for 41% of the fossil fuel output in 2017, while crude oil and coal respectively accounted for 29% and 23%. Coal was the largest source of US fossil fuel production until 2010 but was taken over by dry natural gas in 2011 and by crude oil in 2015. Its share is likely to decrease in 2018 and 2019 but will be offset by growth in natural gas, crude oil and hydrocarbon gas liquids.


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