Energy Research & Data

Global Energy Forecasts: EnerFuture

Global and Country-level Energy Forecasts through 2040

EnerFutureEnerFuture provides energy projections through 2040. Our service offers clear insight into the future of energy demand, electricity generation, prices and GHG emissions by energy source and sector at both country and regional levels. The service provides a consistent set of data based on an exclusive and well proven modelling methodology.

 

A useful tool to assess the evolution and drivers of energy markets worldwide, EnerFuture will help you define your business' strategic decisions.

April 2019 Updates:

  • Full data update with the latest available statistics from multiple sources, consolidated and thoroughly reviewed.
  • Expanded data visualization options: Make custom pie charts, line graphs and bar graphs directly in our online interface.
  • Redesigned, modernized scenarios reflect current market conditions (details below).

 

Key Features

 

  • Global coverage of 65+ countries and aggregates
  • Long-term projections (through 2040) based on the globally recognised POLES model
  • Analysis of the evolution of international oil, gas and coal prices
  • All energies covered: oil, gas, coal, electricity and biomass plus CO2 emissions
  • Annual demand and price forecasts by sector and by energy
  • CO2 emissions forecasts by fuel and by sector
  • Power mix forecasts (capacities and production)
    Both fossil fuels and renewable energies covered
  • Projections based on data updated to 2017
  • Three detailed scenarios
  • 24/7 online access
  • Updated historical data from 2000 - 2017
  • Data available in graphs and tables for country and scenario benchmarking
  • Data export in .csv format to integrate with your own databases and models
  • User-friendly interface with unlimited MS-Excel exports

 

Optional module:

Ask about our optional modules

 

Key Benefits

 

  • Easy access to the comprehensive and complex POLES model:
    • POLES is a point of reference  for energy systems modelling and forecasting worldwide
    • The model uses dynamic simulation of supply and demand with endogenous calculation of energy prices
    • Detailed description of the POLES model included
    • Modelling methodology and scenarios are made explicit
  • Independent view: Enerdata is not linked to any governmental bodies or energy companies
  • Can be benchmarked against the WEO and/or your own forecasts
  • Regular updates
  • Global forecast consistent with country-specific energy balances
  • Support from the experienced Enerdata Global Energy Forecasting specialists    

 

Geographical Coverage

65+ countries and aggregates

 

View Country List

 

EUROPE

Austria
Belgium
Bulgaria
Croatia
Czech Republic
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Greece
Hungary
Ireland
Italy
The Netherlands
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Slovakia
Slovenia
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
Turkey
United Kingdom
Baltic States*

Europe aggregates

Europe

European Union*

Baltic States (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania)

AMERICAS

Canada
United States

Mexico

Brazil

Argentina

Chile

Americas aggregates:

North America

Latin America

Central America*, Mexico* and the Caribbean*

Central America* and the Caribbean*

South America excluding Brazil, Argentina, and Chile (includes Colombia, Venezuela, Ecuador, Peru, Bolivia, Suriname, Guyana, Paraguay, Uruguay)*

ASIA

India
China
Indonesia
Japan
South Korea
Malaysia
Thailand
Vietnam

Asia aggregates*:

Asia

South Asia (excluding India)

Rest of Southeast Asia

PACIFIC

Australia
Pacific (aggregate)
OECD Asia and Pacific (aggregate)

CIS

Russia
Ukraine

CIS aggregates*:

CIS

Other CIS (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan)

AFRICA

Algeria-Libya*
Egypt*
Morocco-Tunisia*
South Africa

Africa aggregates*:

Africa

Northern Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa (excluding South Africa)*

MIDDLE EAST AGGREGATES

Middle-East*

Gulf Countries*
Mediterranean (excl. Gulf countries)*

 

*Note: Price Forecast unavailable

 

 

EnerFuture Scenarios

EnerBase

EnerBaseThe new EnerBase scenario describes a world with a lack of support for GHG emission mitigation, affecting the entire energy system over a long period. Energy demand increases globally, driven by economic and population growth, while technological advances and fuel diversification — namely a moderate renewable expansion — help to slightly curtail the impact on emissions, yet global temperature increase reaches +5°C to +6°C.

 

EnerBlue

EnerBlueThe EnerBlue scenario is compatible with a +3°C to +4°C climate change outcome. EnerBlue provides an outlook on the energy system based on the successful achievement of the 2030 NDC targets (as announced at COP21 in Paris and since revised). Global energy demand increases, driven by growth in China and other emerging countries, but NDCs enable control of both demand growth and CO2 emissions through 2030.

 

 

 

EnerGreen

EnerGreenThe EnerGreen scenario explores the implications of more stringent climate policies. Countries fulfill their NDC commitments and regularly revise their emissions goals. Ambitious climate change mitigation trajectories are specific to each region and built using a new, proven methodology incorporating effort-sharing regulations. These changes lead to significant improvements in energy efficiency and a strong deployment of renewables. In this greener trajectory, global temperature increase is limited to between +1.5°C and +2°C.

 

 

Data Series Covered

  • Energies and Emissions: oil, gas, coal, electricity, biomass and CO2 emissions
  • Power: production and capacities by energy type: fossil fuels, nuclear, and renewables (wind, solar, etc.)
  • Demand: total demand and demand by sector
  • Sectors: power production, industry, transport and buildings (which includes residential, services and agriculture)

 

Previews

Energy Demand Forecasting: Oil products consumption of transport (ktoe) from 2010 to 2040 in India

Energy Demand Forecasting - Transport oil products consumption

More previews

 

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