EnerFuture provides energy projections to 2050. Our service offers clear insight into the future of energy demand, electricity generation, prices and GHG emissions by energy source and sector at both country and regional levels. The service provides a consistent set of data based on an exclusive and well proven modelling methodology.
A useful tool to assess the evolution and drivers of energy markets worldwide, EnerFuture will help you define your business' strategic decisions.
- All EnerFuture scenarios now take into account the impacts of war in Ukraine
- The EnerBlue scenario has evolved based upon the latest NDCs (Nationally Determined Contributions)
- Scenarios now better account for the role of demand-side drivers in decarbonisation, such as electrification, energy efficiency, and energy sufficiency across all sectors
- Extensive coverage of the iron and steel sector
- Refined techno-economic approach of the different energy uses in the buildings sector
- Detailed assessment of natural gas decarbonisation potential for biogas and hydrogen
Easy access to the comprehensive and complex POLES model:
- POLES is a worldwide reference for energy systems modelling and forecasting
- The model uses dynamic simulation of supply and demand with endogenous calculation of energy prices
- Detailed description of the POLES model included
- Modelling methodology and scenarios are made explicit
- Independent view: Enerdata is not linked to any governmental body nor to any energy company
- Can be benchmarked against other sources
- Regular updates
- Global forecast consistent with country-specific energy balances
- Support from Enerdata’s experienced Global Energy Forecasting specialists
- Global coverage of 65+ countries and aggregates
- Three detailed scenarios
- Projections up to 2050, based on the globally recognised POLES model and on historical data from 2000 to 2020, updated year upon year
- All energies covered: oil, gas, coal, electricity, hydrogen, and biomass; Renewable energies focus, including series on demand, supply, and indicators
- CO2 emissions forecasts by fuel and by sector
- Analysis of the evolution of international oil, gas, and coal prices
- Annual demand and price forecasts by sector and by energy
- Energy transition indicators: energy and CO2 intensities, share of renewables, degree of electrification in final energy demand
- Power mix forecasts (capacities and production)
Both fossil fuels and renewable energies covered
- User-friendly interface with 24/7 online access
- Unlimited data exports in .xlsx and .csv formats to integrate with your own databases and models
- Data available in graphs and tables for country and scenario benchmarking (expanded data visualisation options with custom pie charts, line graphs and bar graphs directly in our online interface)
- Country snapshots downloadable in PDF
- MACC: Long-term Marginal Abatement Cost Curves : Calculate the different levels of emissions reductions that can be reached with different carbon price levels for any given year, country and/or sector.
Energies and Emissions:
- CO2 emissions
- production and capacities by energy type:
- fossil fuels,
- renewables (wind, solar, etc.)
- total demand
- demand by sector
- power production,
- buildings (which includes residential, services and agriculture)
- consumption by final demand sector
65+ countries and aggregates
Baltic States (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania)
Central America*, Mexico* and the Caribbean*
Central America* and the Caribbean*
South America excluding Brazil, Argentina, and Chile (includes Colombia, Venezuela, Ecuador, Peru, Bolivia, Suriname, Guyana, Paraguay, Uruguay)*
South Asia (excluding India)
Rest of Southeast Asia
Other CIS (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan)
Sub-Saharan Africa (excluding South Africa)*
Middle East aggregates:
Mediterranean (excl. Gulf countries)*
*Note: Price Forecast unavailable
Energy Demand Forecasting: Oil products consumption of transport (ktoe) from 2010 to 2050 in India
Power Generation Forecasting: Electric capacity from solar (MW) from 2010 to 2050 - Indonesia and Chile
Country Snapshot: Final energy consumption by sector - Vietnam
Coal and lignite consumption of industry in Poland, Canada, Mexico and South Africa 2010-2050
CO2 emissions from gas combustion
Share of renewables in final consumption
EnerBase describes a world in which existing policies are tendentially continued and trends recently observed are pursued. The lack of support for GHG emission mitigation affects entire energy systems over a long period, with increasing energy demand and limited fuel diversification. This scenario leads to a temperature rise above 3°C. This scenario now takes into account the impacts of two game-changing crises: COVID-19 and the war in Ukraine.
EnerBlue is based on the successful achievement of current NDC’s (Nationally Determined Contributions) emission targets for 2030, as well as a continuation of consistent efforts post 2030. Sustained growth in emerging countries is a powerful driver of global energy demand, but policies play a key role in controlling the pace of growth. This scenario leads to a global temperature rise between 2°C and 2.5°C. This scenario now takes into account the impacts of two game-changing crises: COVID-19 and the war in Ukraine.
EnerGreen explores the implications of more stringent climate policies, with countries fulfilling or overachieving their NDC commitments and then regularly revising their emissions goals. These changes lead to significant improvements in energy efficiency and a strong deployment of renewables. In this cleaner trajectory, global temperature increase is limited to below 2 °C. This scenario now takes into account the impacts of two game-changing crises: COVID-19 and the war in Ukraine.
Related Products & Solutions
Country Energy Demand Forecast
Unique, independent projections of consumption by end-use.
Marginal Abatement Cost Curves - MACC
GHG Marginal Abatement Cost Curves.
Global Energy & CO2 Data
The most comprehensive and up-to-date annual energy database.
POLES: Prospective Outlook on Long-term Energy Systems
Recognised, comprehensive simulation model for worldwide energy supply, demand and prices.