EnerFuture provides energy projections to 2050. Our service offers clear insight into the future of energy demand, electricity generation, prices and GHG emissions by energy source and sector at both country and regional levels. The service provides a consistent set of data based on an exclusive and well proven modelling methodology.
A useful tool to assess the evolution and drivers of energy markets worldwide, EnerFuture will help you define your business' strategic decisions.
New
2022 Updates:
- All EnerFuture scenarios now take into account the impacts of war in Ukraine
- The EnerBlue scenario has evolved based upon the latest NDCs (Nationally Determined Contributions)
- Scenarios now better account for the role of demand-side drivers in decarbonisation, such as electrification, energy efficiency, and energy sufficiency across all sectors
- Extensive coverage of the iron and steel sector
- Refined techno-economic approach of the different energy uses in the buildings sector
- Detailed assessment of natural gas decarbonisation potential for biogas and hydrogen
EnerFuture Scenarios
EnerBase
EnerBase describes a world in which existing policies are tendentially continued and trends recently observed are pursued. The lack of support for GHG emission mitigation affects entire energy systems over a long period, with increasing energy demand and limited fuel diversification. This scenario leads to a temperature rise above 3°C. This scenario now takes into account the impacts of two game-changing crises: COVID-19 and the war in Ukraine.
EnerBlue
EnerBlue is based on the successful achievement of current NDC’s (Nationally Determined Contributions) emission targets for 2030, as well as a continuation of consistent efforts post 2030. Sustained growth in emerging countries is a powerful driver of global energy demand, but policies play a key role in controlling the pace of growth. This scenario leads to a global temperature rise between 2°C and 2.5°C. This scenario now takes into account the impacts of two game-changing crises: COVID-19 and the war in Ukraine.
EnerGreen
EnerGreen explores the implications of more stringent climate policies, with countries fulfilling or overachieving their NDC commitments and then regularly revising their emissions goals. These changes lead to significant improvements in energy efficiency and a strong deployment of renewables. In this cleaner trajectory, global temperature increase is limited to below 2 °C. This scenario now takes into account the impacts of two game-changing crises: COVID-19 and the war in Ukraine.