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Global Energy & Climate Scenarios Through 2050

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Global scenarios 2050, 2023 edition

Our forecasting experts just released the 2023 edition of our 2050 Global Energy & Climate scenarios.

The analysis has been realised with:

  • New projections (for all EnerFuture data) including the latest developments:
    • The Ukrainian crisis and its impacts on fossil fuel supply and pricing.
    • Advanced in energy and climate policy, encompassing the most recent NDCs.
    • Trends in electrification.
  • Integration of the latest historical data up to 2021
  • Fully upgraded web interface, offering an easier data access and more user-friendly experience than ever before.
  • A new “Wedges” module to facilitate scenario comparisons, providing insights into the emission reduction strategies applied and the levers used.

Moreover, new developments have been implemented in the POLES-Enerdata model, including:

  • Enhanced representation of the potential of heat pumps in the industrial sector.
  • Expanded coverage of the district heat supply
  • Reminder: in 2022, POLES model underwent a refined techno-economic approach to various energy uses in the buildings sector.

Besides the introduction and key takeaways, the Global Energy Scenarios publication details the three Enerdata scenarios including: Enerbase (+3°C), EnerBlue (+2.5°C) and EnerGreen (<+2°C), with a specific conclusion for each one.

Enerfuture scenarios definition

Source: Enerfuture – Global Energy Scenarios