According to the Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) released by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), energy-related CO2 emissions in the United States are expected to reverse their 2018 trend (+3%) and to decline by 2.2% in 2019. Energy-related CO2 emissions would decrease by 114 Mt in 2019 and most of the drop would come from coal-related emissions (-13%, i.e. -168 Mt); this would be the largest decline in CO2 emissions from coal since 2015. Coal-related CO2 emissions are expected to decline by a further 3.6% in 2020.
As the United States is increasingly replacing coal-fired power generation with gas-fired power generation, gas-related emissions are expected to increase by 53 Mt in 2019 (+3.2%) and to stagnate in 2020. Oil-related emissions, which account for nearly half of US CO2 emissions, are expected to remain flat in 2019 and 2020. Overall, total energy-related CO2 emissions should dip by 0.7% in 2020.
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