The Polish government has approved the draft update of its National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) for the period up to 2030, with a longer-term outlook to 2040. The updated document outlines two climate and energy scenarios through 2040: an active policy scenario, referred to as WAM (With Additional Measures), and a business-as-usual scenario, known as WEM (With Existing Measures).
According to the revised NECP, Poland is now expected to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 53.9% by 2030 compared to 1990 levels, an increase from the previous target of 50.4%. This brings the country close to the EU-wide 55% reduction target established under the European Climate Law. Renewable energy targets have also been adjusted. Electricity generation from renewable energy sources is projected to reach 51.8% by 2030 (down from 56.1% in the previous version) and 79.8% by 2040. In the heating sector, renewables are expected to account for 36.7% in 2030 (up from 35.4%) and 67.6% by 2040.
The document also states that coal-fired power plants are expected to cease operations around 2035. Additionally, Poland plans to invest approximately PLN 1.1 trillion (about €257bn) by 2030, primarily in new generation capacity, including renewables, grid infrastructure, and thermal modernization projects.
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