- Key country metrics
- Main players (government bodies and companies)
- Historical prices and correlation with commodity prices
- Key drivers of price formation and power market outlook to 2050
- Commodity prices
- Fuel price (gas, coal, CO2): historical and projection
- Resulting Short Run Marginal Costs (SRMC) of production (gas, coal): historical and projections
- Supply and demand levels
- Power demand projections with Baseline scenario
- Capacity assumptions with focus on RES policies and relevant thermal capacity phase out
- Regulation and market design
- Clean energy package
- RES subsidy regime
- Interconnections
- Power market outlook to 2050 with annual evolution of demand, capacity and generation and power price outlook
- Commodity prices
European Power Markets Outlook
The alternative for robust power price forecast and analysis at country level
At last a ready-to-use Information Service offering premium electricity market price forecasts! European Power Markets Outlook deep dives into every country's market leveraging a proven optimisation model and a recognised power expertise. The Service1 enables you to grasp the full picture on the power sector at national level, including main market drivers, and draws detailed market price projections to 2050.
1 codeveloped with Compass Lexecon
Why Subscribe?
- Direct and instant access: no need to purchase a model or to commission a consultancy
- Clear and readable: no need to be a modelling expert; assumptions and outputs are made explicit through tables, graphs, and insightful analysis
- Trustworthy: combines the strength of Enerdata’s market intelligence and demand expertise and a solid and reputable optimisation model, specifically designed to handle renewable power generation
- Comprehensive approach: one 30-page report by country + one Excel file containing over a dozen data sheets
- Extended geographic coverage: all main European countries/markets
- Most cost-effective option on the market: subscription-based
Key Features
- Analytical country reports with annual market forecasts to 2050 (demand, capacities, generation, prices)
- Excel dataset with comprehensive and detailed forecasts
- 1 baseline scenario
- Main European countries covered
- Bi-annual updates
- OPTION: Premium version offering:
- hourly granularity
- captured prices
- additional scenarios
- further customisation
Country Report
- Additional analysis (for PREMIUM option only):
- Description of key uncertainties
- Description of additional scenarios (high/low)
- Hourly power price curves
- Marginal unit power generation curve
- Captured price projections for specific technologies
- Focus on flexibility sources (demand & supply) running regime
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Part 1: Country Overview
Part 2: Background and key power markets drivers
A. Introduction
B. Key drivers of power price formation
C. Market driver 1 – Commodity prices
D. Market driver 2 – Supply and Demand levels
E. Market driver 3 – Regulation and market design
F. Market driver 4 – Interconnection
B. Key drivers of power price formation
C. Market driver 1 – Commodity prices
D. Market driver 2 – Supply and Demand levels
E. Market driver 3 – Regulation and market design
F. Market driver 4 – Interconnection
Part 3: Power markets outlook - France
A. Market driver 0 – Scenario definition
B. Market driver 1 – Commodity prices
C. Market driver 2 – Supply and Demand levels
D. Market driver 3 – Interconnection
E. Annual capacity and generation mix evolution
F. Annual power price outlook
B. Market driver 1 – Commodity prices
C. Market driver 2 – Supply and Demand levels
D. Market driver 3 – Interconnection
E. Annual capacity and generation mix evolution
F. Annual power price outlook
Excel Dataset
- Annual power prices per bidding zone to 2050
- Generation
- Emissions from power generation
- Grid exchange
- Power prices 5-year forecast (benchmark with selected EU countries)
- Power demand outlook
- Installed capacity
- Interconnection capacity
- Commodities price forecast
- Historic power prices
EU power prices forecast: Country List
EUROPE
Austria
Belgium
Denmark
Finland
France
Germany
Great Britain
Ireland
Italy
Netherlands
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Spain
Sweden
Switzerland
BALTIC COUNTRIES
EASTERN EUROPE AND GREECE
Methodology
- The model constructs supply in each price zone based on individual plants
- Zonal prices are found as the marginal value of energy accounting for generators' bidding strategies
- Takes into account the cross-border transmission and interconnectors, and unit-commitment plant constraints
- the model is run on the commercial modelling platform Plexos using data and assumptions constructed by FTI-CL Energy
Previews
References
Sample of assignments on power market issues in nordics countries:
Sample of assignments on renewables projects in Europe
Our experience in Asian Energy markets
