EnerFuture World Energy Scenarios to 2050

1 Jun 2021

Our experts in Global Energy Forecasting just released the 2021 edition of our 2050 world energy scenarios. Leveraging the POLES model, we offer an in-depth look at the future of energy for strategic/business planning and policymaking: analysis of energy demand, energy mix and penetration of renewables, evolutions and challenges according to climate constraints and technologies.

Global energy scenarios 2021-edition The publication provides a global energy overview, with outcomes such as:

  • Following the current policies and trends, energy demand could continue to grow by +36% and CO2 emission by +21% by 2050.
  • If the NDCs submitted at COP21 are achieved, the final energy intensity of GDP would be almost cut in half over 2019-2050.
  • If the Paris Agreement targets are met, the share of renewable energy sources could reach 90% of power generation in 2050.




Electricity generation sector and abatement costs to impact GHG emissions

electricity generation

Source: Enerfuture, EnerGreen and EnerBlue scenarios, AERO Model


EnerBlue scenario: shift from fossil fuels to renewables in OECD and non-OECD

fossil fuels and renewables

Source: Enerfuture, EnerBlue scenario


EnerBlue scenario: share of low-carbon energies in the power mix

non fossil energies in power mix

Source: Enerfuture, EnerBlue scenario