Our experts in Global Energy Forecasting just released the 2021 edition of our 2050 world energy scenarios. Leveraging the POLES model, we offer an in-depth look at the future of energy for strategic/business planning and policymaking: analysis of energy demand, energy mix and penetration of renewables, evolutions and challenges according to climate constraints and technologies.
The publication provides a global energy overview, with outcomes such as:
- Following the current policies and trends, energy demand could continue to grow by +36% and CO2 emission by +21% by 2050.
- If the NDCs submitted at COP21 are achieved, the final energy intensity of GDP would be almost cut in half over 2019-2050.
- If the Paris Agreement targets are met, the share of renewable energy sources could reach 90% of power generation in 2050.
Electricity generation sector and abatement costs to impact GHG emissions
Source: Enerfuture, EnerGreen and EnerBlue scenarios, AERO Model
EnerBlue scenario: shift from fossil fuels to renewables in OECD and non-OECD
Source: Enerfuture, EnerBlue scenario
EnerBlue scenario: share of low-carbon energies in the power mix
Source: Enerfuture, EnerBlue scenario