Nigeria has submitted an interim updated Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The new NDC includes the same greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction target set in 2017 in its first NDC - i.e. cutting its GHG emissions by 2030 below a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario by 20% using its domestic resources (unconditional target) or by 45% with international support (conditional target) - and provides information related to historical emissions and GHG projections.
The new NDC updates the base year for the GHG assessment from 2010 to 2018. Between 2010 and 2018, Nigeria’s GHG emissions increased by 40% to reach 347 MtCO2eq. The energy sector accounts for 60% of total emissions, followed by AFOLU (Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use, 25%). Fugitive emissions from oil and gas represents 36% of total energy sector emissions, followed by transport, power generation, residential and industrial consumption. The baseline projection has been updated too, estimating GHG emissions at 453 MtCO2eq by 2030, i.e. around half the 2015 estimates and a 31% increase in total GHG emissions between 2018 and 2030 (+2.6%/year).
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