Morocco has submitted its third Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC 3.0) to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Under this updated plan, the country aims to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 53% by 2035, compared to the 45.5% target by 2030 outlined in NDC 2.0, based on a business-as-usual scenario. This includes an unconditional reduction of 21.6% (up from 18.3%), corresponding to 36 MtCO2eq, to be achieved through secured, state-aligned financing, and a conditional reduction of 31.4% (up from 27.2%), which depends on international support, raising the total potential reduction to 53% (or 88 MtCO2eq) compared to the BAU scenario.
The electricity generation sector, Morocco’s largest source of emissions, is expected to contribute 41% of the total mitigation effort by 2035, followed by industry (excluding cement and phosphates) (12%), agriculture (11%), transport, phosphates (9% each) and waste (6%).
Aligned with its national low-carbon roadmap, Morocco plans to phase out coal for electricity production by 2040, provided sufficient international support is mobilized. Nonetheless, the country has reaffirmed its unconditional commitment to end coal use during the 2040s, regardless of external assistance. By 2050, renewables are expected to cover 96% of domestic power generation.
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