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Carbon neutrality scenarios for ADEME

The project

Enerdata was selected by ADEME, the French Agency for Ecological Transition, to assist in the elaboration of its carbon neutrality scenarios by consolidating sectoral prospective analyses at different scales, and with multiple tools.

A crucial part of the mission was to ensure the overall consistency of scenarios, by exploring long-term challenges related to energy, GHG emissions and raw materials.


Strategic stakes

In the wake of the Paris Agreement in 2015, France adopted the Energy Transition for Green Growth Act (LTECV) and the National Low-Carbon Strategy (SNBC) aimed at reducing GHG emissions and increasing the share of renewable energies.

ADEME plays a key coordinating role through research, goal setting, recommendations, and financial support. In the context of the 2021 presidential elections, ADEME had anticipated updates of the National Low Carbon Strategy and wished to influence the debate on carbon neutrality by proposing new scenarios.

Central to its mission, ADEME seeks to issue recommendations matching the requirements and specificities of each type of stakeholder  (companies, political authorities, citizens), in each economic sector and geographic area. Therefore, to meet this objective, ADEME needed scenario hypotheses and results broken down by sector and by scale.

In addition, to explore and propose alternate pathways to net-zero, ADEME had to guarantee the internal and mutual consistency of its four scenarios, requiring advanced expertise in energy modelling.