South Africa has updated its first Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC). The country aims to limit greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to 398-510 MtCO2eq in 2025 and to 350-420 MtCO2eq in 2030, while the first NDC initially aimed to limit emissions to 398-614 MtCO2eq in 2025-2030. By comparison to the targets contained in South Africa’s first NDC (2015), the upper end of the target range in 2025 has been reduced by 17%, and the upper end of the target range in 2030 has been reduced by 32%.
South Africa’s total GHG emissions excluding FOLU (forestry and other land use) increased by 14% between 2000 and 2017 to 513 MtCO2eq, according to the country’s 7th National Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Inventory Report. The energy sector is the largest contributor to emissions excluding FOLU (80%) and is responsible for 97% of the increase over 2000-2017. CO2 emissions from fuel combustion decreased by 6.5% in 2020 due to the energy demand reduction after the COVID 19 pandemic crisis. They reached 395 MtCO2, 36% above the 1990 level.
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