The Polish Ministry of Climate has unveiled the third scenario of the "Energy Policy of Poland until 2040" (PEP 2040), under which zero-emissions sources (renewables and nuclear) should account for 74% of the installed capacity and cover around 73% of Poland's electricity demand by 2040. The new figures are a significant jump from Poland’s previous energy strategy, which expected 23% of renewables in power generation by 2030.
Under the updated strategy, by 2040, renewables could reach a capacity of 88 GW, providing 51% of the country’s needed power. These figures include energy from solar, wind and hydro, as well as biomass and biogas. Onshore wind is expected to rise to 14 GW in 2030 and 20 GW by 2040, while offshore wind is expected to reach about 6 GW by 2030 and 18 GW in 2040. Poland plans to develop 7.8 GW of new nuclear capacity and 23% of power generation would come from nuclear, as Poland has already partnered with US and South Korean companies to develop its first large-scale nuclear plants (the first reactor is expected for 2033).
Currently Poland is still very reliant on coal for its power generation (72% in 2021). Renewables (including hydro and biomass) accounted for 18% of Poland’s power generation in 2021.
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