Pakistan expects to add 135 GW of installed capacity by 2047
Pakistan’s National Transmission and Dispatch Company (NTDC) has developed a new Indicative Generation Capacity Expansion Plan, covering the period from 2020 to 2047. Under the base case scenarios, which includes targets set out in the draft Alternative Renewable Energy (ARE) Policy 2019, the country’s installed capacity is expected to increase by around 130 GW to 168 GW in 2047.
As demand is expected to reach 44 GW in 2030, a capacity of 76 GW will be required, including 21 GW of hydro (28%), 13 GW of solar (17%), 12 GW of natural gas (17%), 11 GW of coal (14%) and 10 GW of wind (13%). In 2047, demand would attain 103 GW, necessitating a total installed capacity of 168 GW, with 56 GW of hydro (33%), 38 GW of coal (23%), 31 GW of natural gas (18%), 27 GW of solar (16%) and 10 GW of wind (6%).
Consequently, CO2 emissions from power generation should decrease from 0.406 kgCO2/kWh in FY 2019-2020 to 0.32 kgCO2/kWh by FY 2046-2047. According to the NTDC, the base case scenario requires US$69.8bn of investments in electric power generation over the 2020-2047 period.
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