France’s final energy consumption should decline by 17% in 2030, compared to 2021 level, according to a working document from the Central Secretariat for Ecological Planning, which is subject to consultation. Final consumption should be covered with 35% of oil products, 31% of electricity, 17% of biomass and waste, 12% of gas and 4% of heat. Indeed, the consumption of oil products is expected to decrease by more than 30% over 2021-2030, and that of gas by 48%, while electricity demand is forecasted to increase by nearly 10%, biomass and waste demand by 36% and heat by 38%. These objectives are likely to be included in France's future multiannual energy programme.
In addition, the country plans to extend the lifetime of most reactors to 60 years and beyond and to have between 8 and 14 EPR2 in 2050, as well as up to 4 GW of SMRs. The solar capacity should reach between 128 and 160 GW in 2050, with the addition of 3.7 and 5.5 GW/year, and the offshore wind capacity 45 GW. Onshore wind capacity addition are expected to reach 1.2-1.9 GW/year, potentially surpassing 2.5 GW/year after 2035.