Ethiopia has updated its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The country is committing to reduce economy-wide greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 12.4% in 2030 compared to a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, using its domestic resources. This would represent a 51.1 MtCO2eq reduction, limiting GHG emissions at 360.85 MtCO2eq in 2030 (compared to a BAU emission level of 412 MtCO2eq). The emissions reduction target could be further increased to 53.5% with financial backing from the international community; this would limit GHG emissions to 242.8 MtCO2eq, i.e. 220.6 MtCO2eq less than the BAU scenario. Most of the savings would occur in the energy sector.
Previously, the country targeted a 64% reduction from the BAU scenario in 2030, from an estimated 400 MtCO2eq level to 145 MtCO2eq level in 2030, with most of the emissions cuts in the forestry sector. CO2 emissions from fuel combustion have increased very rapidly since 2010 (11%/year) to 14 Mt in 2018. The country is among the lowest in the world for CO2 emissions per capita.
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