Skip to main content

Implementation of energy transition scenarios for the DGEC

Enerdata supports the Directorate General for Energy and Climate (DGEC) of the Ministry of Ecological Transition ("MTE") in the implementation of energy transition scenarios: one scenario "with existing measures" (AME) and another one "with additional measures" (AMS).

Enerdata contributes to the development and the consistency check of these scenarios by producing prospective energy balances as well as monitoring indicators. Enerdata is also in charge of modelling the industrial sector with the EnerMED model.  

This work is part of an integrated forecasting exercise conducted for several years by the DGEC covering the fields of energy, raw materials, climate (greenhouse gas emissions) and air (atmospheric pollutants).

The new AME and AMS 2023 scenarios will be used by the DGEC to feed the reflections on the revision of the French Energy and Climate strategy (SFEC), via the first Energy and Climate Programming Law (LPEC), the updating of the National Low Carbon Strategy (SNBC3) and the Multiannual Energy Programming (PPE) by 2024. At the international level, the prospective exercise will serve France's reporting requirements to the European institutions and the United Nations.

Europe Carbon-neutral in 2050?

September 13, 2018 

Enerdata supports the French Ministry of Ecological and Solidarity in the "EU Scenarios 2050" project. 

Defining a new long-term energy-climate framework

In the run-up to the 2019 European elections, the Commission plans to publish a proposal for an Energy Roadmap 2050 by the end of 2018. While the previous one (2011) aimed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by around 80-95% compared to 1990, the new framework could aim for carbon neutrality by mid-century.

    The French Ministry of Ecological and Solidarity Transition (MTES) launches the "EU Scenarios 2050" study

In parallel with the European timetable, France aims to clarify its position on the level of climate ambition to be retained on a European scale. In view of the uncertainties and the variety of issues at stake in Europe's energy-climate policy, the Directorate General for Energy and Climate (DGEC) has just launched the "EU Scenarios 2050" study to provide a robust analysis of several quantified scenarios aiming for carbon neutrality at EU level in 2050.

Enerdata leads the consortium chosen for this study

Enerdata is leading the consortium selected by MTES to carry out this multi-sector study.

In particular, Enerdata is contributing its experience and expertise in the construction of energy-climate scenarios, notably through the use of the POLES-Enerdata model.

Solagro brings together experts from the agricultural and energy sectors, who will use the MOSUT model to address questions and issues relating to food, land use and agriculture.

Finally, Seureco-Erasme, specialized in modelling (NEMESIS model) and economic analysis, will focus on the macroeconomic impacts of the scenarios studied.

 A "Zero Net Emission" (ZEN) target for the European Union?

The study, which covers all sectors and all greenhouse gases, will assess whether and under what conditions a "net-zero emissions" target is possible at European Union level by 2050.

The key points of the modelling and analysis are as follows:

  • Assessment of food uses and land use policies - capture potentials by anthropogenic sinks
  • Assessment of effort sharing, between countries and between sectors
  • Role of the international context, the level of global climate ambition and its consequences on the adoption of low-carbon technologies
  • Interactions between renewable energy and energy efficiency targets in a low-carbon Europe
  • Consequences for employment, sectoral investment, industrial production and economic growth.

The project aims to produce its conclusions in spring 2019.

For Pascal CHARRIAU, President of Enerdata, "it is essential that the European Union develops an ambitious roadmap to accelerate progress and contribute to the implementation of the Paris Agreement. We are highly motivated by the idea of helping MTES build scenarios to contribute to the preparation of this roadmap.

Our ongoing experience on a Net Zero Emission project for France will be very useful, and developing the approach at European level is an important step.