The Polish Ministry of Economy has unveiled a draft energy policy to 2050 that will be under consultation until 1 September 2014. The energy policy presents three scenarios: in the base-scenario, coal, and oil to a lesser extent, are expected to remain the dominant energy source despite a slightly lower share in the energy mix as gas consumption should increase moderately. Renewables should gain momentum as a result of EU obligations (15% of renewables in the primary energy consumption), while nuclear units should contribute to lower CO2 emissions.
Two alternative scenarios are sketched: in the first one, the nuclear programme would be expanded until reaching a share of 45-60% of nuclear power in the electricity generation mix; coal would only contribute to 10-15% of the power mix, a share similar to that of gas and oil, while renewables would reach 15%. In the second scenario, gas and renewables would cover 50-55% of the primary energy consumption, followed by coal (30%), oil (15-20%). Renewables could cover at least 20% of the power mix, and nuclear 10%.
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