Publications

Up to 50% of the global car fleet could be electric* in 2050

27 Feb 2018
Road transportation will hence play a key role in limiting and reducing CO2 emissions

Based on the latest update of our EnerFuture scenarios (January 2018), the share of electric vehicles in the total global car fleet could reach up to 44% in 2040 and more than 50% in 2050. These levels are achieved in our Ener-Green scenario (strong decarbonation, compatible with a 2°C temperature growth limitation); in Ener-Blue (NDCs objective achieved, compatible with a 4°C temperature growth limitation), this share hits 24% in 2040 and 33% in 2050. In 2016, with 2 million electric cars, the share of electric cars in the total car fleet reached only around 0.2%.

Stock of electric and hybrid cars

Electric vehicles stock

Source: Enerdata - EnerFuture

With 16% of the total CO2 emissions, road transportation will hence play a key role in limiting and reducing CO2 emissions. Electric cars and other decarbonated EV technologies will contribute to limiting both GHG emissions and local air pollution by displacing gasoline and diesel consumption. In 2040, up to 13 Mbl/d oil consumption could be avoided in Ener-Green (20% of the daily oil production) thanks to electric and hybrid vehicles.

EnerFuture forecasts

*EnerGreen scenario (2°C compatible), including electric and hybrid cars

Get this executive brief in pdf format


Searching for comprehensive, up-to-date Energy & CO2 Data?

Then Global Energy Market Data & CO2 is your database! We provide world coverage of the oil, gas, coal, and power markets and a detailed overview of national supply & demand with annual data going back to 1970.

This energy database leverages more than 200 official data sources, which are processed by our analysts to provide fully harmonized data sets that are updated monthly.