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Home > Advisory > Market Research > Post Fukushima Nuclear Scenarios

Post Fukushima Nuclear Scenarios



What impact on the nuclear energy industry and world energy markets? Multi-client Study




A defining moment for world energy markets, the Fukushima accident will at the very least lead to new projects being delayed or cancelled, existing plants decommissioned earlier than planned, and safety rules thoroughly reassessed. The cost of existing and new nuclear power generation will rise and make nuclear relatively less competitive against gas, coal, or wind power; especially in liberalized electricity markets.

What impact on the nuclear industry? To what extent will Fukushima lead to a new dash for gas in Europe and the US or a prolonged rush for coal in Asia? What impact on oil, gas, coal, electricity and CO2 prices? How much will we have to rely on CCS as a low carbon alternative to nuclear? Are objectives and plans to reduce GHG emissions at risk? Could renewables and ambitious energy efficiency policies emerge as winners?

The objective of this Enerdata multi-client study is to provide corporate and public decision makers with a comprehensive impact analysis of the Fukushima disaster on the nuclear industry, energy markets and prices, mid and long term. The study will be available from end November 2011.

For more information about the study,
please contact

Download the Brochure

  • Top 20 nuclear market outlooks: for each country Enerdata will provide a qualitative and a quantitative outlook of nuclear power markets to 2050

  • LCOE analysis for all key generation technologies to 2050: Nuclear, Pulverised Coal (PC), PC + CCS, CCGT, offshore wind, onshore wind, PV, CSP...

  • Detailed scenario analysis and results for 22 world regions and countries: Scenario and sensitivity analyses will focus on regions or countries with large and/or fast growing energy markets: the US, Japan, BRICs and Europe’s big 4, etc.

  • Detailed energy balances to 2050

  • Demand forecasts to 2050 by region and country for key commodities (oil, coal, gas, power)

  • Power mix forecasts to 2050 by region and country

  • Prices forecasts to 2050 by region and country for key commodities (oil, coal, gas, power)

  • Outlook to 2050 will allow clients to compare results with the Roadmap 2050 proposed by the European Commision

  • Clients will benefit from a comprehensive market research and energy outlooks at a fraction of the cost

  • Enerdata has an independent, balanced and factual approach to nuclear issues

  • The analysis will rely on strong quantitative analytics through the use of the POLES model, a state-of-the-art World Energy Model

  • Client will have access to consultants for Q&As on the methodology and results up to 30 days after the delivery date of the study

  • A workshop will be organised in Paris after completion of the study



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